Macroby

Macroby

Express Analysis. August 2025

GDP of Belarus temporarily contracted in July 2025 due to a shift in grain harvesting. In the first seven months of 2025, GDP grew by 1.3% YoY, while in July separaterly it declined by ≈2.7% YoY. The drop in output…

Monetary Environment Review Q2-2025

Monetary conditions eased somewhat in Q2-2025 Interest rates on loans and deposits declined in real terms due to accelerating inflation. On average, rates fell slightly below neutral levels. This contributed to maintaining overheated domestic demand and hindered its quick return to…

Macroeconomic results for Q2-2025

Economic growth in Belarus slowed in Q2-2025 amid intensification of inflationary processes Belarus’ GDP grew by 1.1% YoY in Q2-2025 after 3.2% YoY in Q1; seasonally adjusted quarterly growth was near zero, keeping output at a historical peak well above…

Express Analysis. July 2025

In the first half of 2025, GDP grew by 2.1% YoY, and in June separaterly – by ≈0.3% YoY. The volume of GDP (seasonally adjusted) declined by ≈1% compared to May 2025. Weak output dynamics were observed across all major…

Inflation Review. Q2-2025

Inflation in Belarus increased in Q2-2025 and is moving toward the upper bound of the 7–9% YoY forecast range for the end of 2025. Annual inflation stood at 7.3% YoY in June 2025. The annualized quarterly price growth rose to…

Express Analysis. June 2025

Economic activity in Belarus remained near its historical peak in May 2025, significantly exceeding its balanced level. Over the five months of 2025, GDP grew by 2.5% YoY, and in May separaterly – by ≈1.3% YoY. The volume of GDP…

Express Analysis. May 2025

The Belarusian economy continued to grow due to domestic demand in April 2025. Over the four months of 2025, GDP grew by 2.8% YoY, and in April separaterly – by ≈2% YoY. GDP volume (seasonally adjusted) increased by 0.1–0.3% compared…