Macroby

Macroby

Inflation Review. Q4-2024

Inflation in Belarus slowed in Q4-2024 under the influence of government administrative measures. Annual inflation reached 5.2% YoY in December 2024. The annualized quarterly price growth (seasonally adjusted) declined to 4.4% QoQ in Q4-2024. Authorities made minimal increases to regulated…

Express Analysis. January 2025

The economy enters 2025 in an overheated state, with GDP volume preliminarily estimated to be ≈2.4% above the sustainable level in Q4-2024. Excessive stimulation of consumer demand yielded low returns in terms of output growth, contributed to a widening foreign…

Express Analysis. December 2024

Belarus’s GDP growth slowed significantly in November due to a decline in industrial production. For January – November 2024, GDP grew by 3.9% YoY, and in November, it increased by ≈1% YoY. GDP volume (seasonally adjusted) in November decreased by…

Express Analysis. November 2024

Economic Activity in Belarus Remained High in Early Q4-2024, but Did Not Show Growth. For the first ten months of 2024, GDP grew by 4.2% YoY, and in October, it increased by ≈2.6% YoY. GDP volume (seasonally adjusted) in October…

Monetary Environment Review Q3-2024

Monetary conditions in Belarus reached a neutral level in Q3-2024. The interbank market rate remained nearly unchanged from Q2-2024 and stayed significantly below the neutral level. The National Bank’s increase in reserve requirements proved ineffective in an environment of fiscal…

Inflation Review. Q3-2024

Inflation in Belarus slowed in Q3-2024 and is expected to settle within the 5.5–6.0% range by the end of the year. Annual inflation stood at 6.0% YoY in September 2024. The annualized quarterly price growth (seasonally adjusted) dropped from 6.0%…

Express Analysis. October 2024

Economic Activity in Belarus Remained High in Q3-2024, but Growth Slowed Considerably. For the first nine months of 2024, GDP grew by 4.5% YoY, and in September, it increased by ≈1.6% YoY (Fig. 2.a). GDP volume (seasonally adjusted) in September…