The Consumer Confidence Index. November 2024
The Consumer Confidence Index, calculated using both methodologies, has remained in positive zone, setting a new historical high.
Read moreThe Consumer Confidence Index. November 2024
Inflation Review. Q3-2024
Inflation in Belarus slowed in Q3-2024 and is expected to settle within the 5.5–6.0% range by the end of the year. Annual inflation stood at 6.0% YoY in September 2024. The annualized quarterly price growth (seasonally adjusted) dropped from 6.0%…
Express Analysis. October 2024
Economic Activity in Belarus Remained High in Q3-2024, but Growth Slowed Considerably. For the first nine months of 2024, GDP grew by 4.5% YoY, and in September, it increased by ≈1.6% YoY (Fig. 2.a). GDP volume (seasonally adjusted) in September…
Express Analysis. September 2024
GDP of Belarus contracted in August, hit by volatility in agricultural production and oil refining. GDP grew by 4.9% YoY in January–August 2024 and by ≈1% YoY in August alone, following an increase of ≈8.4% YoY in July (Figure 1.a).…
Monetary Environment Review Q2-2024
Monetary conditions remained moderately loose in Q2-2024, and the National Bank was late in responding to inflation risks. Real interest rates on loans and deposits remained almost unchanged compared to Q1-2024. Interest rates fell slightly short of neutral levels, which…
Express Analysis. August 2024
Belarus’ GDP growth accelerated in July due to climate factors, but an adjustment decline will occur in August. GDP grew by 5.5% YoY in January – July 2024, and it grew by ≈8.4% YoY in July only. Fluctuations in the…
Inflation Review. Q2-2024
Inflation in Belarus remained subdued in Q2-2024, and it will be 5–7% at the end of 2024. Annual inflation increased from 5.55% (YoY) in March 2024 to 5.84% (YoY) in June 2024, and annualized quarterly price growth (seasonally adjusted) grew…
Express Analysis. July 2024
Belarus’ GDP growth greatly exceeded its balanced rate in Q2-2024, but its dynamics weakened in May–June. GDP grew by 5% YoY in January–June 2024, and it grew by ≈3.8% YoY in June only. Seasonally adjusted output remained near the level…
The Consumer Confidence Index. July 2024
According to the quarterly household monitoring data, the Consumer Confidence Index together with its components grew again in July 2024, this time reaching the threshold of 0% (under the Eurostat methodology).
Express Analysis. June 2024
Belarusian economy grew in May, and if there are no logistics disruptions or sharp tightening of domestic economic policy, GDP growth could be over 4% in 2024. GDP grew by 5.2% YoY in January-May 2024, and by ≈5.6% YoY in…